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The FTSE 100 index has principally been disappointing traders this century. On 31 December 1999, the principle UK stock-market index hit a report shut of 6,930.2 factors, topping off a terrific decade.
Sadly, the brutal crashes of 2000-03 and 2007-09 despatched the index plunging far under its millennial excessive. Certainly, the blue-chip index didn’t exceed this earlier peak till 24 February 2015. Therefore, I name the lengthy years from 1999’s peak to 2015’s new highs the ‘Large W’ — what the Footsie‘s chart carefully resembles — or its ‘Wilderness Years’.
The FTSE 100 hits new highs
Over the past 4 weeks, the UK inventory market has seen power that’s principally been lacking for years. Since closing at 8,201.54 on 14 January, the index has leapt by 7.1% to eight,781.56 as I write. Alongside the best way, it has set a number of recent closing and intra-day highs.
This sudden surge shocked me, as I’m used to the Footsie simply plodding alongside. Alas, it has underperformed on the worldwide stage for years, as the next desk exhibits:
Index | Six months | One yr | 5 years |
FTSE 100 | 7.0% | 16.0% | 18.5% |
S&P 500 | 13.5% | 20.8% | 79.5% |
Distinction (UK minus US) | -6.6% | -4.9% | -61.0% |
What’s clear is that the US inventory market has thrashed its British rival over the previous half-decade. Nonetheless, the above figures all exclude money dividends, that are far bigger from Footsie corporations than S&P 500 corporations. However whereas dividends will slim these gaps, America nonetheless reigns supreme.
Make London nice once more?
Excellent news: after this latest spurt, the FTSE 100 has began beating the S&P 500. Over one month, the positive aspects are 6.5% for the UK index and 4.1% for the US, whereas the year-to-date rises are 7.4% and three.2%. What may clarify this sudden shift?
I’ve heard varied causes for this abrupt turnaround. Some pundits declare that world traders have lastly realised how low-cost UK shares are. Others see traders in US shares frightened about sky-high valuations, Trump’s commerce tariffs, and cussed inflation. Regardless of the causes, it’s good to see the Footsie having fun with its days within the solar.
One British share going nice weapons
As an old-school worth investor, I’ve argued for years that UK shares are deeply undervalued, each in historic and geographical phrases. And but go-go US development and tech shares proceed to defy monetary gravity by hovering skywards.
That mentioned, one FTSE 100 share that I’m pleased to have in my household portfolio is Barclays (LSE: BARC). Shares within the Blue Eagle financial institution have trounced the broader market, notably since October 2023. Over six months, Barclays inventory has leapt 38.2%, whereas it has rocketed by 112.9% up to now 12 months. As well as, the shares are up a market-beating 72.9% over 5 years.
My household purchased our stake on this Large 4 financial institution in July 2022, paying 154.5p a share. With the share value now at 304.55p, we’re near doubling our cash on this ‘boring’ FTSE 100 inventory. Even higher, now we have reinvested our beneficiant and rising yearly dividends into shopping for extra Barclays shares, thus turbocharging our positive aspects.
Nonetheless, with UK inflation falling, rates of interest are set to fall. It will hit Barclays’ 2025-26 income by decreasing its curiosity revenue and lending spreads. Regardless of this, we goal to hold onto this fabulous FTSE 100 inventory!